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SP500 – Successful Cycle Forecasts

by WaveTrack International| February 21, 2017 | No Comments

SP500 – Cycle forecast and Result!

S&P 500 – Happy Anniversary

S&P 500 Forecast from last year’s reports! January/February 2016

This exact time last year, our analysis for the benchmark SP500 forecast January 2016 to begin with a significant decline that was due to extend a multi-month, double-digit percentage correction (that began from the May ’15 high). Our proprietary daily composite cycle seemed to confirm this indicating a sharp decline ahead, lasting throughout January and into an important low due in February ’16 – see fig #1.

As we now know, that proved correct with the S&P 500 declining from 2038.00 down to the Feb. 11th low at 1810.10. Soon afterwards, we issued a major buy signal dt. February 17th ’16 that forecast the beginning of a new uptrend that would ultimately break levels into new record highs – see fig #2.

S&P 500 – Forecast 2016 and Result Now!

Original upside targets for intermediate wave (3) were towards 2239.02+/- but basis EW-Pattern development, current upside targets are much higher now!

The composite cycle looked like this last November (2016) ahead of the U.S. Presidential election – see fig #3. It successfully indicated the S&P 500 was again forming the completion of a corrective decline with trend preparing to resume its upward trend again.

SP500 – Composite Cycle in November 2016 ahead fo Trump Election Win!

Composite Cycle Update for the SP500 to be published in the EW-Compass Report – late Feb./early March 2017

We’ll be updating this composite cycle in this week’s report as we expect more important changes coming through into late-February/early March!

In the meantime, watch/listen to Peter Goodburn’s forecasts from this period last year. In his interview with Dale J. Pinkert of FXStreet.com, Peter expands on his forecasts for the S&P 500 approaching a major low plus some other insights on currencies and commodities.

FX STREET INTERVIEW – with Dale Pinkert – 14th January 2016

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S&P500 – Don’t Get Distracted! Uptrend Intact!

by WaveTrack International| January 26, 2017 | No Comments

Elliott Wave Confirms Continued Gains

S&P500 – Forecast 4th January – RESULT! 25th January 2017

Don’t Get Distracted! Uptrend Intact!

Despite negative press over the weekend with commentators and analysts warning the ‘Trump-trade’ had ended with stock markets heading for sizable declines, Elliott Wave analysis has again cut through the preconception ‘noise’ with a very bullish ‘call’ earlier this month.

December’s decline was always expected to unfold as a ‘counter-trend’ sequence within the more dominant uptrend as the S&P500 proved when the sell-off unfolded into a double zig zag pattern ending year-end at 2228.00 (futures). Yesterday’s activity (Tuesday Jan.24th) confirmed the prevailing uptrend with a break into new record highs.

We expect much more from this in the weeks ahead!

MORE ELLIOTT WAVE INSIGHTS – to STOCK INDICES, COMMODITIES and CURRENCIES are published in WaveTrack’s latest VIDEO SERIES

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Currencies (FX) and Interest Rates Video Update!

by WaveTrack International| January 25, 2017 | No Comments

Currencies (FX) ‘8-YEAR US$ DOLLAR CYLCLE’ 2017

‘8-YEAR US$ DOLLAR CYLCLE’ completion in 2017!

During the last year, we’ve highlighted the fact that a 15.6-year US$ dollar cycle is approaching completion. Cycles measure peak-to-peak, trough-to-trough with the mid-point creating a 7.8-year trough-to-peak rise for the dollar since early-2008. This next major cycle-peak is a little overdue, but one thing is clear, it’s closing in on completion right now!

Elliott Wave analysis of this 8-year dollar upswing is confirming the advance as ending a counter-trend pattern. Furthermore, the typical Fibonacci-Price-Ratio measurements for this corrective pattern fit perfectly into the current price levels. Together, these three aspects offer a compelling case for the US$ dollar’s reversal anytime into Q1’17.

Over the last few years, upside targets to complete the dollar’s counter-trend advance haven’t changed at all, and looking that far ahead, we often wondered what catalyst or trigger would eventually turn the tide. Now we know! – U.S. President D. Trump is manoeuvring to reverse the previous administration’s strong dollar policy.

This came as quite a surprise for mainstream investment bank economists. Their 2017 annual forecasts had already opined a strong US$ dollar outlook for most of the year and even beyond on the premise that inflation was returning and this would propel U.S. interest rates higher. Even Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen is hinting about incremental Fed Funds increases this year, so why not (linearly) extrapolate a stronger U.S. dollar?

The problem comes if Trump manages to reverse the dollar policy because analysts place the dollar and interest rates into a positive correlation. But the market often forgets history! In the early-1970’s, the de-pegging of the US$/gold relationship brought an end to the Bretton woods currency (fix) system and with it, a declining US$ dollar over the next decade whilst interest rates ran exponentially higher. That same era or cycle is about to emerge again, as illustrated from analysing both the US$ dollar and U.S. interest rates in this latest Elliott Wave & Cycle analysis.

This latest installment of WaveTrack International’s three part VIDEO SERIES takes an in-depth look at how these Elliott Wave patterns and cycles translate across most of the major currencies & interest rates of the world – PART III, CURRENCIES & INTEREST RATES – 2017 & BEYOND.

Our latest Video/Report analyses over 52 charts and cycles highlighting major trends, reversal levels together with Fibonacci-Price-Ratio projection levels of the major currency pairs/crosses and interest rates of the U.S., Europe and Japan. Don’t hesitate – this is the most thoroughly researched, accurate ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSIS on the planet. We’ll be taking a look at currency trends over a 50+ year period and projecting these trends into the future – and if you want to see what U.S. interest rates look like over a period of 250+ years, then this latest ANNUAL 2017 ELLIOTT WAVE PRICE-FORECASTS & CYCLE PROJECTIONS will tell you.

• US$ index
• Euro/US$
• Stlg/US$
• US$/Yen
• US$/CHF
• AUD/US$
• US$/CAD
• Euro/Stlg
• Euro/Yen
• Asian ADXY
• US$/IDR
• US$/ZAR
• US$/BRL
• US$/RUB
• US$/CNY
• U.S. AAA+ Corporate Bond Yield
• US 30yr Yield
• US 10yr Yield
• US 10yr TIPS Break Even Inflation Rate
• DE 10yr Yield
• JPY 10yr Yield

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– Please state if you wish to purchase the SINGLE VIDEO for COMMODITIES for USD 48.00 (67 charts)? more information here
– Single Video – $48.00 – PART III CURRENCIES (FX) with 52 charts (1 hour 50 mins)(Jan. ’17)
– Or opt for the www.wavetrack.com

Dow Jones Completes Correction

by WaveTrack International| January 20, 2017 | No Comments

Stock Market Bullish Ahead of Trump’s Presidential Inauguration

The Dow Jones’ short-term corrective decline that began from December’s high of 19911 (futures) originally unfolded into an expanding flat pattern, ending at 19661 (see previous reports). This has now extended into the next support level measured to 19606+/- prolonging the pattern into a ‘double-three’, i.e. expanding flat-x-zig zag ending into yesterday’s session at 19607 – just 1 point from the fib-price-ratio level.

Dow Jones – 13th January Forecast and 20th January 2017

The Dow Jones is now expected to resume its larger uptrend ahead of D. Trump’s Presidential Inauguration scheduled later today. This is also bullish for all other indices.

More on this subject in tonight’s Market Report.

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COMMODITIES VIDEO – 2nd Phase of the ‘INFLATION-POP’ Gets Underway!

by WaveTrack International| January 4, 2017 | No Comments

COMMODITIES 2017! Re-flation on the way

Earlier last year, Developed Market (DM) stock indices, key benchmarks like the S&P and the Eurostoxx 50 hit important lows, ending a 9-month corrective sell-off that began from the May ’15 highs into February ’16 lows. This was the largest decline in over 4 years and comparable to the year-2011 correction. But this event also marked the end of 5-year counter-trend declines in Emerging Markets (EM) and Commodities. This formed an important convergence because the performance of EM’s and Commodities had been divergent over the past five years – now they have aligned again in what we described at the time as the ‘RE-SYNCHRONISATION’ process. The S&P has since traded into new record highs whilst EM’s have undergone a renaissance with huge outperformance as it resumes a new uptrend. Commodities have also staged a similar turn-around which is set to continue in the years ahead.

This re-synchronisation process was forecast as a future event back in December ’14 in WaveTrack International’s 2015 annual forecasts. It hinted that when these divergent trends would realign, it would signal the emergence of the 2nd Phase of the ‘INFLATION-POP’. The inflation-pop was a term we used to describe how many asset classes were undergoing inflationary impulses induced by Central Banks monetary easing policies that were implemented after the financial-crisis. The 1st phase of the inflation-pop’ ended in year-2011 when EM’s and Commodities formed their peaks. Now that corrective declines ended in January/February ’16, the 2nd Phase is deemed already underway.

The latest video series describes how this 2nd phase will translate into COMMODITIES, the duration and their extent/amplitude, for 2017 and beyond. Part II (fig’s #39-106) features a total of 67 charts, our largest assemblage ever with many more time-series and alternate counts in addition!

The COMMODITIES list includes medium/long-term Elliott Wave analysis for the following:

1 hour 50 mins long video of indepth Elliott Wave commentary featuring over 67 charts with Fib-Price-Ratios, Cycle projections, Correlation Studies and so much more! This is WaveTrack’s state of the art bi-annual video series which according to our clients is a ‘must have’!

Correlation analysis, highlighting Commodity 2nd Phase of the ‘INFLATION-POP’ Gets Underway!

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PARTS II & III will be available in a few weeks’ time (2017!) – we’re working on it!

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