WaveTrack International

Elliott Wave Financial Price Forecasting

STOCK INDICES Mid-Year Video Update! PART I/III

by WaveTrack International| June 28, 2024 | No Comments

Stock Indices Mid-Year Video Update 2024 - Elliott Wave Forecasting Services

Stock Indices Mid-Year Video Update 2024

Stock Indices Mid-Year Video Update 2024

Includes ECONOMIC INDICATOR & SENTIMENT STUDIES
Stock Market Crash Inevitable

Highlights 2024

  • Stock Market Crash Inevitable
  • Tail Risks: Interest Rates Remaining Higher-for-Longer
  • Treasury Debt Issuance over $2 Trillion
  • Commercial Real Estate Refinancing at $929bn in 2024
  • Yield Curve Inversion into 22nd Month Indicating Recession
  • Insider Selling Hits 3-Year High –2022’s Downward Expanding Flat Correction Incomplete with Final Sequence about to Begin
  • S&P 500, Dow Jones, Value Line, Russell 2000, all expected to Crash -40%
  • Technology and AI Hit Worst
  • Nasdaq 100 -50%
  • Big-Tech Leads Panic Unwinding for Amazon, Alphabet/Google, Apple, Meta/Facebook, Microsoft, Nvidia
  • Bank Stocks also Hit Hard
  • Europe’s Major Indices Completing Major Highs Ahead of Collapse
  • Stoxx Europe Mid-Cap 200 and Small-Cap 200 Underperforming During 2023/24 Rally Confirming Secondary Peaks Below 2021 Highs
  • MSCI Europe unfolding into classic Expanding Flat Correction from 2021 Highs -40%
  • MSCI Emerging Market index -45%
  • MSCI China -55%
  • BRICS Decline -30% to -40%
  • India -30%
  • Far East -45%
  • Australia ASX-200 -30%
  • Japan -40%
  • Stock Indices – Main Theme

    When stock indices overcame the pandemic sell-off with as sharp v-shaped recovery ending into the Nov.’21/Jan.’22 highs, it confirmed the final sequence of the secular-bull market from the financial-crisis lows had begun.

    Ordinarily, we’d expect to see this 5th wave unfold into a five wave expanding-impulse pattern but so many indices ran higher into a-b-c zig zags to those Nov.’21/Jan.’22 highs. This was confirming the 5th wave advance from the March 2020 low was taking the form of a five wave diagonal-impulse instead.

    Stock Indices – Change is coming!

    That doesn’t sound like much of a change – but it is, it does! It’s the difference between getting caught-up in the AI frenzy or taking a dose of reality and stepping aside for more lucrative investment entry points later. The diagonal-impulse patterns unfolding in the major indices, like the S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq 100, even those in Europe like the Xetra Dax completed their 1st waves into those Nov.’21/Jan.’22 highs although 2022’s declines were certainly not deep enough to qualify the completion of 2nd wave corrections.

    Far deeper corrections are necessary to ensure the boundary lines of the diagonal are correctly proportional to this wedge-shaped pattern. The 2nd waves are actually unfolding into a-b-c expanding flat patterns where 2022’s initial declines were wave a. And of course, wave b’s required attempt to new highs are exactly where prices are trading now.

    Beware of the AI Frenzy!

    The AI technology frenzy has helped to exaggerate the b wave advances from those 2022 lows whilst underperforming indices like the small-cap Russell 2000 and the small/mid-cap indices traded in Europe are lagging behind, unable to break above those Nov.’21/Jan.’22 highs, setting-up bearish divergences – that in itself is big warning!

    Stock Indices – Elliott Wave Conclusion

    But that means wave c is about to crash lower into a five wave impulse. And that translates into downside acceleration during the next 9-12 months. And proportional fib-price-ratio measurements depict declines of -40% ahead.

    U.S. Stock Indices Outlook

    Right now, U.S. indices are still in the midst of counter-trend 2nd wave corrective downswings that began from the Nov.’21/Jan.’22 highs. The outperforming indices, such as the S&P 500, Dow Jones (DJIA), and Nasdaq 100, are unfolding into a-b-c expanding flat patterns, with wave b currently trading to new higher-highs. However, these indices are about to roll over, creating potential risks of -40% to -50% declines in the next 9-12 month period.

    On the other hand, the underperforming indices, like the small-cap Russell 2000 and Nasdaq Next-Generation 100 index, are seeing corrections unfold into zig zags or double zig zags. This sets up classic bearish divergence, signaling wave c declines ahead.

    Don’t let yourself be caught off guard by these market trends. Stay informed and ahead of the game with WaveTrack’s Stock Indices video. Our expert analysis and insights will help you navigate the market with confidence and make informed trading decisions.

    Subscribe today to gain access to this valuable resource and take your stock trading to the next level. Don’t miss out on this opportunity to stay ahead of the curve and maximize your trading success.

    Most sincerely,

    Peter Goodburn
    Founder and Chief Elliott Wave Analyst
    WaveTrack International

    Contents Stock Indices Mid-Year Video Update 2024

    Charts: 92 | Video: 2 hours 2 mins.

  • US Government Debt Maturity, Treasury Debt, CRE Financing…
  • S&P 500
  • Dow Jones 30
  • Russell 2000
  • Value Line
  • Nasdaq 100
  • Nasdaq NextGen 100
  • Magnificent 7 Stocks
  • FANG+
  • Amazon
  • Google/Alphabet
  • Apple Inc.
  • Facebook/Metaverse
  • Microsoft
  • NVIDIA
  • KBW Banking Index
  • KRE Regonal Banking
  • XLF Financial
  • SOX Semiconductor
  • NASDAQ Biotech
  • XLV Health Care
  • XLY Consumer Discretionary
  • XLP Consumer Staples
  • DJ Transportation Average
  • XAR Aerospace and Defence
  • EuroStoxx
  • Xetra Dax
  • FTSE-100
  • EuroStock Mid 200 Index
  • EuroStock Small 200 Index
  • EuroStock Banks
  • Deutsche Bank
  • Commerzbank
  • MSCI Emerging Market
  • MSCI China
  • Hang Seng
  • Shanghai Composite
  • Bovespa
  • Russia RTS
  • Nifty 50
  • Tel Aviv 125
  • Tasi
  • Singapore Straits
  • Taiwan SE Weighted
  • KOSPI
  • ASX 200
  • Nikkei 225
  • ONLY FOR CLIENTS outside the EU – SELECT YOUR PACKAGE

    Single Video – *$49.00 – PART I Stock Index Mid-Year Video Uptrend 2024 (June ’24) or send us an email to services@wavetrack.com
    Triple Package offer – *$99.00 (saving 33%)! – PART I – PART II – PART III (June – August ’24)

  • Each video runs for at least 1 hour 30 minutes and it’s packed with SPECIFIC Elliott Wave price-forecasts. The Stock Index Video is already 2 hours 2 mins. long!.
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  • BONUS! The Stock Index Mid-Year Video Update 2024 contains 92 charts already. illustrated in the VIDEOS will be created into a .pdf document/report and sent to you so that you can always keep these to refer to!
  • PARTS II & III will be available in a few weeks’ time – we’re working on it!

    HOW CAN YOU RECEIVE THE VIDEO FORECAST within the Europeean Union?

    – If you are a EU client contact us under services@wavetrack.com so that we can issue you a quote with added VAT! Sorry for the extra step but it is European tax law. Thank you for your understanding!
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    We’re sure you’ll reap the benefits – don’t forget to contact us with any Elliott Wave questions – Peter is always keen to hear your views, queries, and comments.

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    Dow Jones – From 18,000 to 40,000!

    by WaveTrack International| May 16, 2024 | No Comments

    Dow Jones Trading

    …it took over 8 years to get there!…40,000 Dow Jones!

    Fig #1 - Dow Jones 30 Index - Quarterly - Forecast published in WaveTrack's Stock Indices Video Outlook 2016

    Fig #1 – Dow Jones 30 Index – Quarterly – Forecast published in WaveTrack’s Stock Indices Video Outlook 2016

    Fig #2 - Dow Jones 30 Index - Elliott Wave Analysis as published in WaveTrack's Stock Indices Video Outlook 2016

    Fig #2 – Dow Jones 30 Index – Elliott Wave Analysis as published in WaveTrack’s Stock Indices Video Outlook 2016

    Get ahead of the game with WaveTrack’s Stock Indices video series. Don’t miss the next edition in June 2024.

    Subscribe to the latest EW-Compass bi-weekly short-term report and or wait for our mid-year Stock Indices Video Update in June 2024 with trading insights and much more… Order the EW-Compass now!

    EW-Commodities Outlook – Supplemental – March/April 2024

    by WaveTrack International| April 18, 2024 | No Comments

    EW-Commodities Outlook – Supplement Highlights

  • Higher Rates for Longer
  • Credit/Recession Risks
  • Commercial Real Estate on Verge of Collapse
  • U.S. Debt Spiralling out of Control
  • De-Dollarisation Shift causes Downturn in US$ Dollar
  • Base Metals/Copper in Final Rally before Sustained Declines
  • 2021’s Downward Corrections Incomplete – Risk of -30% decline
  • Precious Metals in Bull Market
  • Gold to 2379.00+/- this Year
  • Silver to 37.75+/-
  • Platinum & Palladium to Outperform Gold and Silver
  • Gold Miners Bottomed in February Triggering Buy Signal
  • TTF Gas has More Downside
  • Natural Gas Approaching Major Lows
  • Crude/Brent Oil Approaching Completion of Important Corrective Rally
  • Heading Lower during next Several Months
  • EW-Commodities Outlook Supplement

    This latest update of the monthly March/April 2024 report is ‘Supplemental’ with key revisions for Copper, Iron Ore and a look at the larger picture of the Rare Earth ETF from VanEck Vectors. Also, updates for the GDX Gold Miners, the Gold/Silver ratio together with modifications for Energy contracts XLE and XOP. For other contracts, please refer to the March/April report published 15th March 2024.

    Iron Ore

    Fig #2 – Iron Ore – Weekly Chart – WaveTrack International –

    Subscribe to the latest EW-Commodities Outlook report and get trading insights and much more… Note the EW-Commodities Outlook includes a report and video update!

    Currencies and Interest Rates Video Outlook 2024

    by WaveTrack International| February 28, 2024 | No Comments

    Currencies & Interest Rates Video Outlook 2024

    We’re pleased to announce the publication of WaveTrack’s annual Triple Video Mid-Year Update 2023 of medium-term ELLIOTT WAVE price-forecasts. Today’s release is PART III, CURRENCIES and INTEREST RATES.

    PART I – STOCK INDICES – out now!
    PART II – COMMODITIES – out now!
    • PART III – CURRENCIES & INTEREST RATES – out now!

    Now, let’s look at some of the Currencies and Interest Rates Mid-Year Video Highlights that are crucial to know during this economic timeline…

    Highlights

  • Higher Rates for Longer
  • Credit/Recession Risks
  • Commercial Real Estate on Verge of Collapse
  • U.S. Debt Spiralling out of Control
  • De-Dollarisation Shift causes Downturn in US$ Dollar
  • Risk of -15% Decline for US$ Dollar Index in 2024
  • Additional Declines into End-Decade -50%
  • G10 Dollar Currencies Trend Higher
  • US$/Yen in Balance
  • Commodity Currencies Gain despite Downturn in DM Economies
  • Asian Dollar Index Trends Higher, Reflecting US$ Dollar Weakness
  • Crypto-Currencies Undergo Big Downside Correction within Longer-Term Uptrends
  • Currencies and Interest Rates Preview

    Are you ready for what’s next in the financial world? Our latest analysis reveals critical trends shaping the markets:

    Higher Rates for Longer: Despite expectations of an end to interest rate hikes, countries like Japan, the U.K., and Germany are already in recession. Are we heading for a global slowdown? Discover the surprising truth in fig’s #186-187.

    Recession Risks Looming: The U.S. yield curve inversion spells trouble, historically signaling a recession within 15 months. With 66% of fund managers expecting a ‘soft-landing’, are they right? Dive into the data in fig’s #188-189.

    Commercial Real Estate (CRE) Concerns: $117bn in U.S. CRE refinancing this year alone, and European banks facing €1.4 trillion Euros in refinancing needs. Could this lead to another banking crisis? Find out more in fig #191.

    Second Regional Banking Crisis: After 2022/23’s bank failures, signs point to more trouble. Banks like Deutsche Bank are raising provisions, signaling potential defaults. Learn about the risks in fig’s #192-193.

    U.S. Debt Soars: With U.S. debt hitting $34.15 trillion, higher rates mean higher costs. Could this lead to a decline in the US$ dollar? Explore the implications in fig #194.

    De-Dollarisation Trends: Global economies hold fewer US$ reserves, opting for partner currencies. Is the US$ losing its stronghold? Discover the potential impact in fig #195.

    Currency Trends Unveiled:
    From G10 pairs to currency crosses, our analysis predicts major movements. See what’s ahead for Euro/US$, Stlg/US$, US$/CHF, and more in fig’s #196-238.

    Fig #202 - USD Index - Daily - by WaveTrack International - Currencies and Interest Rates Video Outlook 2024

    Fig #202 – USD Index – Daily – by WaveTrack International – Currencies and Interest Rates Video Outlook 2024

    Unlocking Financial Insights: What’s Ahead for Interest Rates?

    The 60-Year Cycle Unveiled: Corporate AAA Bond Yields hit a turning point in 2011, marking the start of a new 30+ year uptrend for interest rates. Despite COVID-19 disruptions, March ’20 lows confirm this upward trajectory. Discover more in fig’s #288-289.

    Inflation Trends and Contrarian Risks:
    Real Interest Rates remain negative, even with central bank hikes. Bank of America’s survey reveals a record 91% expecting lower short-term rates, highlighting the contrarian risk of rising rates this year. Explore insights in fig’s #290-294.

    U.S. Debt at Record Highs:
    With U.S. debt soaring to $34.15 trillion, higher rates will impact financing. A credit crunch looms, potentially spiking long-dated treasury yields to post-pandemic highs. Get details in fig’s #295-296.

    US Interest Rates Outlook:
    Federal Funds rate nears its peak, poised to remain ‘higher-for-longer’ due to CPI upticks and risks like CRE and bank deposit runs. Are US30yr and US10yr yields set for more highs? Dive into the analysis in fig’s #297-307.

    Figures refer to data points in our analysis.

    Ready to unlock a whole new dimension of financial insights? 📈 We’re thrilled to invite you to the next chapter of our financial journey through an exciting video experience.

    What Awaits You?

  • In-depth analyses of market trends.
  • Expert predictions and strategies.
  • Actionable tips to elevate your financial game.
  • Get ready to gain a fresh perspective, delivered right to your screen. Prepare for enlightening discussions, visual breakdowns, and the latest market insights based on Elliott Wave, Fibonacci-Price Ratio’s and Cycle work – all in one place.

    Most sincerely,

    Peter Goodburn
    Founder and Chief Elliott Wave Analyst
    WaveTrack International

    What you get

    Contents: 156 charts | VIDEO DURATION: nearly 3 hours 4 mins.
    The contents of this CURRENCIES & INTEREST RATES VIDEO include Elliott Wave analysis for:

    Forex (99 charts):
    • US FED Rate & PCE Inflation
    • US Yield Curve
    • CRE Commercial Real Estate
    • US Treasury Fiscal Data
    • US$ Index + Cycles
    • USD COT
    • Euro/US$
    • EUR COT
    • Stlg/US$
    • STLG COT
    • US$/Yen
    • YEN COT
    • CHF COT
    • US$/CHF
    • US$/NOK
    • US$/SEK
    • AUD/US$
    • AUD COT
    • US$/CAD
    • CAD COT
    • NZD/US$
    • NZD COT
    • Euro/Stlg
    • Euro/CHF
    • Euro/Yen
    • EUR/AUD
    • Stlg/AUD
    • CAD/NOK
    • USD/BRL
    • USD/RUB
    • US$/ZAR
    • US$/MXN
    • USD/ILS
    • US$/TRY
    • Asian ADXY
    • US$/Renminbi
    • US$/KRW
    • US$/SGD
    • US$/INR
    • US$/TWD
    • USD/THB
    • US$/MYR
    • US$/IDR
    • US$/PHP
    • Bitcoin
    • Ethereum

    Interest Rates (57 charts):
    • US10yr Real Yield
    • US TIPs
    • US30yr Yield
    • US10yr Yield + Cycle
    • US2yr Yield
    • US2yr-10yr Yield Spread
    • US10yr-30yr Yield Spread
    • US10-DE10yr Yield Spread
    • DE10yr Yield
    • DE2yr Yield
    • UK10yr Yield
    • ITY10yr Yield
    • Italy10-DE10yr Yield Spread
    • Australia 10yr Yield
    • Canada 10yr Yield
    • Japan 10yr Yield

    How to buy the Currencies and Interest Rates Video Outlook 2024

    Simply click on this PayPal Payment link to purchase the CURRENCIES + INTEREST RATES Video Outlook 2024 for USD 49.00 (+ VAT where applicable) or alternatively our Triple Video Offer for USD 99.00 (+ VAT where applicable) – Review the content of WaveTrack Stock Indices Video PART I here and the Commodities Video PART II here.

    If you prefer to pay via a secure Credit Card payment link please contact us @ services@wavetrack.com ! Many thanks.

  • Each video runs for at least up to 2 hours and it’s packed with SPECIFIC Elliott Wave price-forecasts (the Stock Indices Video is 2 hour 10 mins long!).
  • *(additional VAT may be added depending on your country – currently US, Canada, Asia have no added VAT but most European countries do)

    We’re sure you’ll reap the benefits – don’t forget to contact us with any Elliott Wave questions – Peter is always keen to hear you views, queries and comments.

    Visit us @ www.wavetrack.com

    Commodities Outlook 2024 Video is now available!

    by WaveTrack International| January 24, 2024 | No Comments

    Commodities Video Outlook 2024
    Commodities Video Outlook 2024

    We’re pleased to announce the publication of WaveTrack’s annual Triple Video Outlook 2024 of medium-term ELLIOTT WAVE price-forecasts. Today’s release is PART II, COMMODITIES – Part I was released last month and Part III will be published in late-February / beginning of March 2024…

    PART I – STOCK INDICES – out now!
    PART II – COMMODITIES – out now!
    • PART III – CURRENCIES & INTEREST RATES – coming soon!

    Commodities Forecast Highlights 2024!

  • Higher-Rates-for-Longer Weigh Heavily Against Base Metals + Energy Markets during 2024
  • US$ Dollar Collapse sends Gold, Silver, Platinum, Palladium Surging Higher
  • Commodities – Head and Tail Winds for 2024

    In the ever-evolving landscape, our 2024 analysis begins by scrutinizing the main drivers shaping COMMODITY prices. Uncover potential headwinds, including the impact of prolonged higher interest rates, a looming commercial real estate refinancing wave exceeding $117 billion, and the repercussions of China’s economic stagnation linked to property sector loan backlogs. A silver lining emerges with a declining dollar, offering introspective opportunities, particularly for precious metals.

    Venture into our analysis on Commodity vs. Equity valuations, addressing the pertinent question of undervalued commodities or overinflated equity valuations—or perhaps both!

    Fig #1 - Ratio Chart: CRB Index / SP500 - by WaveTrack International Commodities Outlook 2024!

    Fig #1 – Ratio Chart: CRB Index / SP500 – by WaveTrack International Commodities Outlook 2024!

    Anticipating Market Movements: A Glimpse into the Future

    Our unique perspective on the evolution of commodity prices from the financial-crisis lows reveals a divergence from the ELLIOTT WAVE pattern within the SECULAR-BULL uptrend for global STOCK MARKETS. The birth of the term INFLATION-POP signals a cycle driving inflation to levels not seen since the 1970s, presenting an unprecedented opportunity for traders in the 21st century.

    For those with memories of the late-1970s inflation surge, the current scenario seems like a cyclical repetition, offering a degree of predictability. Despite commodities surging post-pandemic, the past 18-24 months have witnessed corrections within the upward cycle. Brace yourselves for potential downside pressure this year. Now, setting the stage for a resilient bottom and another significant price rise into 2025/27.

    Commodities Video Outlook 2024

    With this new Commodities video you will review over 87 individual commodity contracts and Fibonacci Price Ratios within three main sub-sectors, Base Metals, Precious Metals, Precious and Base Metal Miners and Energy.

    Don’t miss your chance to access this premium content, meticulously crafted to empower traders like you. Join us as we unveil the latest trends, strategies, and market analyses that will shape your success in the dynamic world of commodities.

    Sincerely,

    Peter Goodburn & EW-team

    Commodities Video Outlook 2024 Part II/III

    Contents: 87 charts
    Time: 2 hours 13 mins.

    • FED, Interest Rate, Inflation charts
    • US 10yr Yield Cycle
    • Commercial Real Estate Collapse
    • US Dollar index + Cycles
    • CRB-Cash index + Cycles
    • Food and Agriculture Index
    • DB PowerShares Agriculture Fund
    • Copper
    • Aluminium
    • Lead
    • Zinc
    • XME Metals & Mining Index
    • BHP-Billiton
    • Freeport McMoran
    • Antofagasta
    • Anglo American
    • Glencore
    • Rio Tinto
    • Vale
    • Iron Ore
    • Uranium
    • Rare Earths
    • Gold
    • Gold-Silver Ratio
    • Silver
    • Platinum/Silver Ratio
    • Platinum
    • Palladium/SP500 Ratio
    • Palladium/Gold Ratio
    • Palladium/Platinum Ratio
    • Palladium
    • GDX Gold Miners Index
    • Newmont Mining
    • Amer Barrick Gold
    • Agnico Eagle Mines
    • AngloGold Ashanti
    • XAU Gold/Silver Index
    • Crude Oil
    • Brent Oil
    • Gasoline RBOB
    • Natural Gas
    • TTF Natural Gas
    • XLE Energy SPDR
    • XOP Oil and Gas Index

    How can you purchase the video?

    1. Single Commodities Video! Simply click on this PayPal payment link for the Commodities Video Outlook 2024 for USD 49.00 (for non-EU clients). Please note that it can take up to 6 hours until you receive this video.
    2. Triple Video! Simply click on this PayPal payment link for the Triple Video Outlook 2024 for USD 99.00 (for non-EU clients). This covers Stock Indices, Commodities and Currencies + Interest Rates. Please note that it can take up to 6 hours until you receive this video.
    3. Additionally, we now offer as well payment via credit card payment link – For the credit card payment option please Contact us @ services@wavetrack.com and state if you like to purchase the Commodities Single video for USD 49.00 + VAT* or the Triple Video for USD 99.00 +VAT*?. Thank you.

  • Each video runs for at least up to 2 hours and it’s packed with SPECIFIC Elliott Wave price-forecasts (the Stock Indices Video is 2 hour 29 mins long!).
  • *(additional VAT may be added depending on your country – currently US, Canada, Asia have no added VAT but most European countries do)

    We’re sure you’ll reap the benefits – don’t forget to contact us with any Elliott Wave questions – Peter is always keen to hear you views, queries and comments.

    Visit us @ www.wavetrack.com

    We’re sure you’ll reap the benefits. Don’t forget to contact us with any Elliott Wave questions. Our EW-team is always keen to hear your views, queries, and comments.

    Visit us @ www.wavetrack.com

    Stock Indices Video Outlook 2024 – PART I/III

    by WaveTrack International| December 30, 2023 | No Comments

    Stock Indices Video Outlook 2024

    Stock Indices Video Outlook 2024

    Recession Alert! – Heightened Risk of a Hard Landing in 2024!!
    FANG+ & Mag-7 Slide Lower in 2024

    Highlights 2024

  • Recession Alert! – Heightened Risk of a Hard Landing in 2024!!
  • Correction of Post-Pandemic Advance Incomplete
  • Wave B of A-B-C Zig Zag/Expanding Flat Patterns Approaching Upside Completion
  • Heightened Risk of Another Downturn for Global Indices in 2024 as Wave C
  • Optimism Over Central Bank Interest Rate Peaks Overestimated Weighs Heavily on Economies
  • S&P 500 Benchmark Expected Down -38%
  • Nasdaq 100 Technology -50% – Fang+ Technology Particularly Vulnerable to Tail-Risk
  • Large Counter-Trend Declines for Amazon Inc., Alphabet/Google, Apple Inc., Meta/Facebook, Microsoft, Netflix, Nvidia & Tesla
  • Benchmark Eurostoxx 50 Forecast Down -38% – London’s FTSE-100 Down -20%
  • MSCI EM 2023 Uptrend Intact
  • MSCI China/Hong Kong Hold Up
  • Russia -30%, India -26%, Israel -26%, Saudi Arabia -30%, Singapore -15%, Taiwan -36%, Jakarta -24%, South Korea -28%, Australia -27%, Japan -38%
  • TAIL RISK IN 2024!!

    A yield curve inversion almost always occurs before a recession although its effects can begin up to 15 months later. The more recent inversion began in July ’22. And we’re now 17 months later. This is clearly highlighting the probability a recession is just ahead. Bank of America analysts show the S&P 500 begins a decline of up to -40% once the curve begins to steepen again.

    The decline accelerates as the Federal Reserve begins to tighten credit and the market collapses following the first rate cut. It then forms a trough/low 9 months later. This synopsis tallies with our bearish Elliott Wave outlook for the S&P 500 for the coming year, 2024. We’re expecting a decline of -38% per cent. Contrastingly, Goldman Sachs forecasts a limited risk of recession with a year-end target of 4700.00+/- (-2%), Deutsche Bank a mild recession, 5100.00+/- (+8%), JP Morgan a risk of recession, 4200.00+/- (-12%) and Societe Generale a mild recession, 4750.00+/- (-1%).

    However, the U.S. Banking sector is particularly vulnerable to a strong downturn should interest rates remain higher-for-longer with commercial real estate defaults likely to accelerate.

    SPOTLIGHT – Technology!

    This is a must have video for those who invested in the Magnificent 7 Stocks! We believe that Fang+ Technology are particularly vulnerable to Tail-Risk factor mentioned above. Moreover, there will be large counter-trend declines for Amazon Inc., Alphabet/Google, Apple Inc., Meta/Facebook, Microsoft, Netflix, Nvidia & Tesla. Get our latest video and be prepared.

    New Stock Indices Video Outlook 2024 – PART I/III

    The central themes we’ll be discussing in this video include Interest Rate trends and expectations, inflation and what happens should Central Banks keep interest rates higher-for-longer.

    We’re examining clues in the last year’s yield curve inversion and later. Moreover, systemic financial credit risks showing-up in the U.S. and European banking sector.

    We’re taking an updated look at the final stage of the inflation-pop cycle which is propelling stock indices higher from the pandemic lows. Many are unfolding into ending-type diagonal patterns but are missing the required 2nd wave downside sell-offs that only partially materialised in 2022. 2023’s rallies are unlikely to be sustained. European indices staged relative outperformance since lows in September 2022 but are also expected to generate big declines during the next year ahead of resuming higher afterwards.

    MSCI China and the Emerging Market index are both looking positive. At the very least, these outperform Developed Market indices in 2024.

    This STOCK INDICES Video Outlook 2024 is like nothing you’ve seen anywhere else in the world. It’s unique to WaveTrack International, how we foresee trends developing through the lens of Elliott Wave Principle (EWP) and how its forecasts correlate with Fibonacci Price Ratios, Sentiment extremes and Economic data trends.

    We invite you to take this next step in our financial journey with us – video subscription details are below – just follow the links and we’ll see you soon!

    Most sincerely,

    Peter Goodburn
    Founder and Chief Elliott Wave Analyst
    WaveTrack International

    Contents Stock Indices Video Outlook 2024

    Charts: 97 | Video: 2 hours 29 mins.

  • Fed Fund + Inflation, FedWatch, G7 CPI…
  • S&P 500
  • Dow Jones 30 + cycle
  • Russell 2000
  • Nasdaq 100
  • Magnificent 7 Stocks
  • FANG+
  • Amazon
  • Google/Alphabet
  • Apple Inc.
  • Facebook/Metaverse
  • Microsoft
  • Netflix
  • NVIDIA
  • Tesla
  • KBW Banking Index
  • KRE Regonal Banking
  • XLF Financial
  • DJ Transportation Average
  • DJ Utilities Average
  • Value vs. Growth (SVX vs SGX)
  • XLK Technology
  • SOX Semiconductor
  • XLV Health Care
  • XLY Consumer Discretionary
  • XLP Consumer Staples
  • EuroStoxx
  • Xetra Dax
  • FTSE-100
  • EuroStock Banks
  • Deutsche Bank
  • UniCredit
  • Commerzbank
  • MSCI Emerging Market
  • MSCI China
  • MSCI Hong Kong
  • Hang Seng
  • Shanghai Composite
  • Bovespa
  • Sensex
  • Nifty 50
  • Tasi
  • Singapore Straits
  • Taiwan SE Weighted
  • KOSPI
  • All Ordinaries Australia
  • ASX 200
  • Nikkei 225
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    Single Video – *$49.00 – PART I Stock Index Video Outlook 2024 (December ’23) or send us an email to services@wavetrack.com
    Triple Package offer – *$99.00 (saving 33%)! – PART I – PART II – PART III (January – February ’24)

  • Each video runs for at least 1 hour 50 minutes and it’s packed with SPECIFIC Elliott Wave price-forecasts. The Stock Index Video is already 2 hours 28 mins. long!.
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  • BONUS! The Stock Index Video Outlook 2024 contains 97 charts already. illustrated in the VIDEOS will be created into a .pdf document/report and sent to you so that you can always keep these to refer to!
  • PARTS II & III will be available in a few weeks’ time – we’re working on it!

    HOW CAN YOU RECEIVE THE VIDEO FORECAST?

    To receive your VIDEO UPDATE please use this instant PayPal payment link for US, UK, Australian and international customer except EU customers click here.

    – Alternatively, if you like to pay via credit card, we are very happy to send you a credit card payment link – contact us via email to services@wavetrack.com/
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    – As soon as we receive payment either via the instant PayPal payment link or via the credit card link we provide you with the video link & PDF report once payment is confirmed. Please know the reply can take up to 6 hours. But rest assured we will give our best to provide you with the information as soon as possible!

    *(additional VAT may be added depending on your country of residence. Currently, the US, Canada, Asia have no added VAT except EU countries)

    We’re sure you’ll reap the benefits – don’t forget to contact us with any Elliott Wave questions – Peter is always keen to hear your views, queries, and comments.

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    New EW-Commodities Outlook

    by WaveTrack International| August 29, 2023 | No Comments

    EW-Commodities Outlook September 2023

    EW-Commodities Outlook Highlights

  • Heightened Risk of Recession
  • Persistently High Interest Rates from CB’s Knocks Global Economies into Downturn
  • Monetary Liquidity Tight
  • Risk of a Credit-Crunch
  • Commercial/Industrial Real Estate Refinancing Causes Defaults in both U.S. and China
  • Drives Risk-Assets/Commodities Lower, US$ Dollar Higher
  • Stage set for Big Declines
  • Copper Heading Lower, decline of -28%
  • Iron-Ore -17%
  • Precious Metals continuing Correction from May Highs
  • Gold declining below 1800.00
  • Silver below 20.00
  • GDX declining towards 25.00
  • XAU towards 100.00
  • Platinum’s Correction to 862.00
  • Palladium to 988.00
  • TTF Gas Bottomed
  • Nat Gas Lower
  • Crude Oil Collapse to 54.70
  • Brent to 59.66
  • XLE Energy, XOP Oil & Gas set for Big Declines
  • EW-Commodities Outlook Major Themes for September 2023

    Following-on from our PART II mid-year Commodities report, this month’s update continues with some of the central themes surrounding the macro economy and how that may affect prices going forward. From an Elliott Wave perspective, we will discuss three major risks…

    Heightened Risk of Global Recession

    This includes a heightened risk of a global recession, caused by central banks’ maintaining their current interest rate cycle. The theme is ‘higher-for-longer’. A withdrawal of liquidity as the Federal Reserve together with other Central Banks continue tightening.

    Risk of Banking Crisis

    Furthermore, there’s also an increasing risk that a 2nd phase of last March’s U.S. regional banking crisis. The development contributes to a recession as bank’s balance sheets deteriorate with depositor withdrawals quickening.

    Risk of Real Estate Crisis

    And a new risk of defaults in the property sector arises as major Real Estate Investment Trusts offer little in the way of dividends whilst China’s property developer giants seek U.S. Bankruptcy protection.

    In short, without doubt, a global recession means Commodities would take another hit to the downside.

    Subscribe to the latest EW-Commodities Outlook report and get trading insights and much more… Note the EW-Commodities Outlook includes a report and video update!

    Currencies and Interest Rates Mid-Year Video Update 2023

    by WaveTrack International| August 14, 2023 | No Comments

    Currencies Interest Rates Mid-Year Video Update WaveTrack

    We’re pleased to announce the publication of WaveTrack’s annual Triple Video Mid-Year Update 2023 of medium-term ELLIOTT WAVE price-forecasts. Today’s release is PART III, CURRENCIES and INTEREST RATES.

    PART I – STOCK INDICES – out now!
    PART II – COMMODITIES – out now!
    • PART III – CURRENCIES & INTEREST RATES – out now!

    Now, let’s look at some of the Currencies and Interest Rates Mid-Year Video Highlights that are crucial to know during this economic timeline…

    Highlights

  • Systemic Financial Credit Risk
  • Persistently High Interest Rates from CB’s Knocks Global Economies into Recession
  • Drives Risk-Assets Lower, US$ Dollar Higher
  • 2nd Banking Crisis Likely, Triggered by Deterioration in Bank Balance Sheets
  • Deposit Withdrawals
  • Inflationary Pressures Cooling
  • Credit Crunch Triggered by Commercial Real Estate Meltdown
  • US$ Dollar Index Higher to 109.14+/- gain of +7.5%
  • Euro/US$ Down to 1.0208+/- Safe-Haven Currencies in Vogue
  • US$ Dollar, Swiss Franc but Yen is Strongest
  • Overturns Carry-Trade
  • Credit-Crunch Causes Treasury & Bund Yields to Spike Higher
  • Completes Five Wave Impulse Uptrends from All-Time-Lows
  • Yields then begin Corrective Downturn
  • Yield Curve Reverses Inversion
  • Begins Steepening once Yields have Peaked
  • Bank of Japan to Tweak YCC establishing Uptrend for JGB Yields
  • INCLUDES ANALYSIS ON MAJOR US$ DOLLAR PAIRS/CROSSES
  • Currencies and Interest Rates Preview

    Central Banks’ Interest Rates?
    Despite lingering concerns about Central Banks’ persistent interest rate levels, we’ve got you covered. Our cutting-edge Elliott Wave forecasts will help you navigate the challenging landscape, even as CPI inflation takes a dip from last year’s highs.

    G10 Currency Trends Unveiled

    Get ready for a shift in G10 currency pairs over the upcoming months…

    Yen and Swiss Franc Shine: Amidst the changes, the Yen and Swiss Franc might emerge as safer havens compared to the dollar.

    🇪🇺🇺🇸 Euro/US$ Decline: The Euro/US$ pair is expected to weaken from its high at 1.1277 in July, targeting downside levels around 1.0208+/-.

    🇬🇧🇺🇸 Stlg/US$ Journey: Brace for a decline in Stlg/US$ from 1.3143, with a target of 1.1662+/-.

    🇺🇸🇳🇴 US$/NOK Reversal: Watch for a turnaround in the US$/NOK pair, climbing from its low of 9.9245 in July and aiming for 11.4022+/-.

    G10 Currency Crosses Dynamics

    🇪🇺🇬🇧 Euro/GBP Dip: Euro/GBP is continuing its decline from July’s high at 0.8702, aiming for 0.8309+/-.

    🇪🇺🇨🇭 Euro/CHF Direction: Euro/CHF is projected to move lower, heading towards 0.8850+/-.

    🇪🇺🇯🇵 Euro/Yen Patterns: Euro/Yen completes an upswing, but get ready for a downward trend in the coming weeks and months, reflecting Yen strength.

    🇪🇺🇨🇳 Euro/CNY Movement: Euro/CNY’s corrective upswing from July ’22 to July ’23 is evident, marking a change in direction…

    Review all the contracts WaveTrack covers in this extraordinary Elliott Wave forecasting masterpiece published only twice a year. Stay informed and empowered in the ever-evolving financial landscape.

    Currencies Fig #241 - AUD vs. YEN - Daily Forecast by WaveTrack International

    PREVIEW: Fig #241 – AUD vs. YEN – Daily Forecast by WaveTrack International

    Ready to unlock a whole new dimension of financial insights? 📈 We’re thrilled to invite you to the next chapter of our financial journey through an exciting video experience.

    What Awaits You?

  • In-depth analyses of market trends.
  • Expert predictions and strategies.
  • Actionable tips to elevate your financial game.
  • Get ready to gain a fresh perspective, delivered right to your screen. Prepare for enlightening discussions, visual breakdowns, and the latest market insights based on Elliott Wave, Fibonacci-Price Ratio’s and Cycle work – all in one place.

    Most sincerely,

    Peter Goodburn
    Founder and Chief Elliott Wave Analyst
    WaveTrack International

    What you get

    Contents: 147 charts | VIDEO DURATION: nearly 2 hours 54 mins.
    The contents of this CURRENCIES & INTEREST RATES VIDEO include Elliott Wave analysis for:

    Forex (94 charts):
    • US Deposit Outflows
    • US Bank Annual Balance Sheet Changes
    • US$ Index + Cycles
    • USD COT
    • Euro/US$
    • Stlg/US$
    • US$/Yen
    • US$/CHF
    • US$/NOK
    • US$/SEK
    • AUD/US$
    • US$/CAD
    • NZD/US$
    • Euro/Stlg
    • Euro/CHF
    • Euro/Yen
    • Euro/CNY Renminbi
    • Stlg/YEN
    • Stlg/ZAR
    • AUD/YEN
    • AUD/CNY Renminbi
    • AUD/NZD
    • USD/BRL
    • USD/RUB
    • US$/ZAR
    • US$/MXN
    • US$/TRY
    • US$/ARS
    • US$/PLZ
    • Asian ADXY
    • US$/Renminbi
    • US$/KRW
    • US$/SGD
    • US$/INR
    • US$/TWD
    • USD/THB
    • US$/MYR
    • US$/IDR
    • US$/PHP
    • Bitcoin
    • Ethereum

    Interest Rates (53 charts):
    • US10yr Real Yield
    • US30yr Yield + Cycles
    • US10yr Yield + Cycles
    • US5yr Yield
    • US2yr Yield
    • US2yr-10yr Yield Spread
    • US10yr-30yr Yield Spread
    • 3mth EuroDollar-US10yr Yield Spread
    • Comparison US10-DE10yr vs S&P 500
    • US10yr TIPS Break Even Inflation Rate
    • US10-DE10yr Yield Spread
    • DE10yr Yield
    • UK10yr Yield
    • ITY10yr Yield
    • Italy10-DE10yr Yield Spread
    • Australia 10yr Yield
    • Japan 10yr Yield

    How to buy the Forex + Bonds Video Outlook 2023

    Simply contact us @ services@wavetrack.com to buy the CURRENCIES + INTEREST RATES Mid-Year Video Update 2023 for USD 49.00 (+ VAT where applicable) or alternatively our Triple Video Offer for USD 99.00 (+ VAT where applicable) – Review the content of WaveTrack Stock Indices Video PART I here and the Commodities Video PART II here.

    Please state your payment preference in the order email – we offer PayPal or a secure Credit Card payment link! Many thanks.

  • Each video runs for at least up to 2 hours and it’s packed with SPECIFIC Elliott Wave price-forecasts (the Stock Indices Video is 2 hour 10 mins long!).
  • *(additional VAT may be added depending on your country – currently US, Canada, Asia have no added VAT but most European countries do)

    We’re sure you’ll reap the benefits – don’t forget to contact us with any Elliott Wave questions – Peter is always keen to hear you views, queries and comments.

    Visit us @ www.wavetrack.com

    New Commodities Mid-Year Video Update 2023

    by WaveTrack International| July 14, 2023 | No Comments

    Commodities Mid-Year Video Update 2023

    We’re pleased to announce the publication of WaveTrack’s annual Triple Video Mid-Year Update 2023 of medium-term ELLIOTT WAVE price-forecasts. Today’s release is PART II, COMMODITIES – Part I was released last month and Part III will be published in late-July / beginning of August 2023…

    PART I – STOCK INDICES – out now!
    PART II – COMMODITIES – out now!
    • PART III – CURRENCIES & INTEREST RATES – coming soon!

    Now, let’s look at some of the Commodities Mid-Year Video Highlights that are crucial to know during this economic timeline…

    Commodities Mid-Year Video Highlights 2023!

  • Central Banks Tightening Policies Risking Global Economy
  • Recession Risks Increasing Despite Resilience in U.S.
  • Europe and China in Downturn
  • 2nd Banking Crisis Likely
  • Stronger US$ Headwinds in H2
  • Commodity vs. Equity Valuations Low Limits Downside
  • Food Prices Down Further
  • Base Metals Lower on China Risks
  • Precious Metals Bullish Medium-Term, Bearish Shorter-Term
  • Silver to Outperform Gold Medium-Term, Platinum to Outperform Silver
  • Palladium to Outperform Platinum
  • Rare Earth Metals Approaching Important Lows
  • Crude & Brent Oil’s Correction from 2022 Highs Incomplete – Medium-Term Bullish
  • RBOB Gasoline Heading Lower
  • Natural Gas Hits Bottom along with Europe’s TTF Gas
  • Downside Pressures for XLE and XOP
  • What WaveTrack’s is covering in its Commodities Mid-Year Video Update 2023

    Commodities are set to continue 2022’s decline during the remaining period of 2023 and perhaps into Q1 2024. H1 ’23 gains are corrective with significant downside risk ahead. Central Banks are fighting a credibility battle having begun their monetary tightening and interest rate hiking cycle too late.

    And now, in this late period of the cycle, CB’s are in danger of overreacting, continuing tighter policies through Q3 whilst triggering a recession. However, Commodities are amongst other risk assets decline, although in some areas like Base Metal Miners, outperformance in this next declines offers some defensive protection.

    Inflation-Pop cycle spanning two decades from financial-crisis lows remains in upward trajectory although taking a pause since interim highs of 2022. Base Metals, Precious Metals and Energy undergoing corrective downswings during next several months with lows late-2023 or extending into Q1 ’24. FAO food prices continuing declines from April 2022 highs but as 4th wave correction. CRB index heading lower.

    US$ dollar index’s long-term 16.25-year cycle in downtrend, but dollar strength expected soon, beginning a counter-trend upswing from 99.66-54+/- (currently 102.92) targeting 111.20+/- during next several months as safe-haven buying triggered due to declining commodity prices and other risk assets.

    Base Metals

    This Mid-Year video update will feature Copper, Aluminium, Lead, Zinc, Nickel and Tin.

    WaveTrack is forecasting that Copper is set to continue lower in H2 despite as final stage of corrective 4th wave downswing that began from the May ‘21 high. Targets towards 5870+/-.

    Aluminium continuing corrective primary wave B decline during next several months towards 1627+/-. Lead declining as intermediate wave (2) towards 1680+/-. Zinc approaching earlier downside target of 1983+/-. Nickel resuming primary wave X decline towards 14050+/- and Tin declining as intermediate wave (X) towards 18800+/-.

    Base Metal Miners – Outperformers?

    WaveTrack believes that Base Metal Miners are set for outperformance during underlying base metal decline during next several months.

    However, XME Metals & Mining index underperforms as primary wave X, continuing correction from April ’22 high towards 28.98+/-.

    In more detail WaveTrack will be highlighting if BHP is outperforming with perhaps limited downside towards 51.61+/-.

    Commodities BHP Billiton Mid-Year Video Forecast by WaveTrack International

    BHP Billiton Mid-Year Video Forecast by WaveTrack International

    Yet, Antofagasta is expected to hold above current levels. Whilst Anglo American shows a downside risk of -24%. Even more risk for Freeport McMoran with a possible downside of -39%. Glencore’s 4th wave correction towards 336.00+/- (459.50), -26%. Rio Tinto’s 2nd wave correction lower, towards 4109.00+/-, down by -19%. Vale performance is not yet decided. It might be bullish above 11.71, and bearish below this level.

    Strategic Metals

    In this section we’ve included Iron Ore in this section even though it’s officially not a strategic metal. Iron Ore in 5th wave uptrend from Oct.’22 low of 80.00 but engaged in shorter-term corrective downswing.

    Iron Ore - WaveTrack's Elliott Wave forecast - Mid-Year Video Update for Commodities

    Iron Ore – WaveTrack’s Elliott Wave forecast – Mid-Year Video Update for Commodities

    WaveTrack will focus on covering Uranium, Global X Uranium (URA), Northshore (URNM), VanEck Rare Earth (ETF) and last but not least MP Materials (Rare Earth) Corp.

    Futhermore, WaveTrack will cover Precious Metals, Precious Metal Miners and Energy – please review the table of content below for the complete overview of all the chart you get access to!

    What makes WaveTrack’s Elliott Wave Forecasts successful?

    Peter Goodburn, the founder of WaveTrack International has developed a unique combination of the Elliott Wave theory and Fibonacci price ratios to provide traders with a powerful tool set for analyzing the market. The Elliott Wave theory helps to identify the general trend of the market, while Fibonacci ratios pinpoint key areas of support and resistance.

    Whilst our long-term clients are familiar with this approach, we like to go into it in a bit more detail for newcomers. For example, if a market is in an uptrend, traders can use the Elliott Wave theory to identify the five-wave pattern. Once the fifth wave is complete, traders can use Fibonacci ratios to identify key support levels for the market, where there is a high probability of a price reversal. These levels are known as retracements and are typically found at 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8% of the movement of the trend.

    The unique combination of the Elliott Wave theory and Fibonacci price ratios is a powerful trading strategy that can help traders improve their trading performance. While this method may require some practice, once mastered, traders can leverage this strategy to make better-informed trading decisions and ultimately increase their profitability. Review this magical Fibonacci-Price Example featured here. Our bi-annual Video Series focus on medium- to longer-term trends and have the unique advantage that you will hear Peter Goodburn’s explanations. These insights are priceless for any trader using Elliott Wave and intending to improve his trading performance.

    Commodities Mid-Year Video Update 2023

    This video is Part II and we’ll be taking a look at over 90 individual commodity contracts and cycles within three main sub-sectors, Base Metals, Precious Metals, Precious and Base Metal Miners and Energy.

    Whether you’re an experienced trader or just starting out, the Mid-Year Commodities Video report can help you make better trading decisions. It provides a clear and concise overview of market conditions and trends, allowing you to identify opportunities for profit and manage risk effectively.

    So why wait? Invest in your trading success today. Join a bespoke group of traders who rely on WaveTrack International’s technical analysis expertise to navigate the markets and achieve their financial goals.

    This is WaveTrack’s state of the art video –only available twice a year– if you are trading commodities this is a must have.

    Sincerely,

    Peter Goodburn & EW-team

    Commodities Mid-Year Video Outlook 2023 Part II/III

    Contents: 95 charts
    Time: nearly 2 hours

    • US M2 Money Supply
    • US Loan Book
    • US Annual Balance Sheet change
    • US Deposit Outflows
    • Banks Tightening Credit in Eurozone
    • Food and Agriculture Index
    • DB PowerShares Agriculture Fund
    • US Dollar index + Cycles
    • CRB-Cash index + Cycles
    • US CPI Food and Energy
    • Copper + Cycles
    • Aluminium
    • Lead
    • Zinc
    • Nickel
    • Tin
    • Iron Ore
    • Uranium
    • Rare Earths
    • MP Materials Corp
    • BHP-Billiton
    • Freeport McMoran
    • Antofagasta
    • Anglo American
    • Glencore
    • Rio Tinto
    • Vale
    • Gold
    • Gold-Silver Ratio
    • Silver
    • Platinum/Silver Ratio
    • Platinum
    • Palladium/Gold Ratio
    • Palladium/Platinum Ratio
    • Palladium
    • GDX Gold Miners Index
    • Newmont Mining
    • Amer Barrick Gold
    • Agnico Eagle Mines
    • AngloGold Ashanti
    • XAU Gold/Silver Index
    • Fresnillo Silver
    • Crude Oil + Cycles
    • Brent Oil
    • Gasoline RBOB
    • Natural Gas
    • TTF Natural Gas
    • XLE Energy SPDR
    • XOP Oil and Gas Index

    How can you purchase the video?

    1. Contact us @ services@wavetrack.com and ask for a PayPal payment link (please state if you like to purchase the Commodities Single video for USD 49.00 + VAT* or the Triple Video for USD 99.00 +VAT*?).
    2. Additionally, we now offer as well payment via credit card payment link

  • Each video runs for at least up to 2 hours and it’s packed with SPECIFIC Elliott Wave price-forecasts (the Stock Indices Video is 2 hour 11 mins long!).
  • *(additional VAT may be added depending on your country – currently US, Canada, Asia have no added VAT but most European countries do)

    We’re sure you’ll reap the benefits – don’t forget to contact us with any Elliott Wave questions – Peter is always keen to hear you views, queries and comments.

    Visit us @ www.wavetrack.com

    We’re sure you’ll reap the benefits. Don’t forget to contact us with any Elliott Wave questions. Our EW-team is always keen to hear your views, queries, and comments.

    Visit us @ www.wavetrack.com

    New Stock Indices Mid-Year Video Update now available!

    by WaveTrack International| June 23, 2023 | No Comments

    Stock Indices Mid-Year Video Update 2023  www.wavetrack.com

    Stock Indices Mid-Year Video Update 2023

    Hightlights

  • October ’22 Rallies Approaching Completion
  • Systemic Financial Credit Risks Ahead
  • U.S. Regional Banks Crisis Develops 2nd Fallout
  • Recession Risks Heightened
  • Central Banks Announce Terminal Interest Rate Peaks
  • October ’22 Bearish Sentiment Turns into Bullish Extreme
  • Overbought Conditions
  • Most Indices Expected to Break Below Oct.’22 Lows
  • AI Tech Frenzy Hit Peak for this Year, Sharp Declines Ahead
  • Some Technology Stocks Hit Bottom Last Year but set for Deep Counter-Trend Declines
  • Eurostoxx Banks also Vulnerable
  • Emerging Markets Vary
  • China to Outperform in next Decline
  • Japan’s Recent Euphoria Unwinds
  • Central Banks

    Central Banks are still warning markets that the fight against inflation is ongoing. This determined approach is perpetuating their hawkish resolve. Yet, should interest rates remain elevated, there is little doubt that major stock indices will struggle to maintain this year’s advances. The deteriorating bank balance sheets caused by deposit withdrawals are expected to trigger a second banking crisis. Perfectly following this year’s earlier debacle. Furthermore, we believe that systemic financial credit risk provides the catalyst for a short but sharp recession in developed markets.

    Banking Sector Risk

    The biggest downside risk remains in the banking sector. February/March’s meltdown in U.S. regional banks is only the beginning of a more widespread contagion. Rapidly declining deposit withdrawals due to banks’ reluctance to pass on interest rate rises to customers will cause another round of balance sheet problems.

    U.S. Sectors

    U.S. Sectors show another period of Value (SVX) outperforming Growth (SGX) over the next several months, suggesting an overall stock index decline prompting defensive or safe-haven strategies. Banking sector weakest although declines expected in Dow Jones Transportation, XLF Financials, NBI Biotechnology, XLV Healthcare and XLY Consumer Discretionary.

    Furthermore, we will discuss in detail why we believe that Continental European and Asian stock indices are expected to decline by double-digit percentages during the next several months. Stay informed about the latest market predictions and analysis with our Video Mid-Year report.

    Quite a Year so far for Stock Indices!

    This year’s stock market recovery from last September’s/October’s 2022 lows has overturned the extreme bearish sentiment that occurred eight months ago. Initial gains were met with derision as central banks continued their rate-hiking cycle which began in March ’22. With headline inflation surging higher in both the U.S. and Europe, central banks had little choice but to maintain aggressive monetary tightening.

    Ordinarily, money supply constraints would be bearish for stock markets, but last year’s (2022’s) sell-off came as a surprise to markets and by the time prices bottomed last September/October, sentiment was so bearish, it held back expectations of a sustained recovery. In fact, this was reflected over the next several months in various investment bank fund manager surveys – as the months ticked by, large asset managers held onto high cash levels, reluctant to buy back into the market so soon after lightening-up on positioning during last year’s sell-off. Expectations of a recession dominated thinking as CB’s continued rate-hiking cycles.

    Stock markets ignored the fundamentals, rising initially modestly, hesitantly, with the benchmark S&P 500 gaining +20% per cent by early-May ’23. Only in June have prices begun to accelerate, mainly because of improving sentiment over the introduction of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and ChatGPT technologies, especially reflected in a narrow band of big-tech stocks like Nvidia Corp.

    We’re now in a situation where the AI frenzy has turned mainstream, pushing other index benchmarks higher, attracting those big asset fund managers to re-enter the market. The big question everyone’s asking is whether this is a sustainable uptrend that began from last September’s/October’s lows? Or are central banks going to trigger a recession? Persistently high interest rate levels could precipitate another banking crisis. This latest mid-year report attempts to answer those questions.

    New Stock Indices Mid-Year Video Update 2023 – PART I/III

    This exclusive Stock Indices Mid-Year Video Update from WaveTrack International is a rare gem that presents the future trends using an innovative approach based on the Elliott Wave Principle (EWP), in addition to the correlation between Cycles, Fib-Price-Ratios, Sentiment extremes, and Economic data trends.

    You don’t want to miss out on this unique opportunity to expand your financial knowledge, and we’re thrilled to invite you to join us on this exciting journey. With our video subscription details listed below, you’re just a few moments away from gaining access to valuable insights that will enhance your investment strategy.

    WaveTrack’s team of experts offers you unprecedented access to a comprehensive analysis of the stock market that cannot be found anywhere else.

    Most sincerely,

    Peter Goodburn
    Founder and Chief Elliott Wave Analyst
    WaveTrack International

    Contents Stock Indices Mid-Year Video Update 2023

    Charts: 91 | Video: 2 hours 30 mins.

  • Interest Rates + Inflationary Pressures
  • Money Supply
  • US Deposit Outflows
  • Loan Book
  • CPI
  • S&P 500 + cycle
  • Dow Jones 30
  • Russell 2000
  • Nasdaq 100
  • AI ChatGPD
  • FANG+
  • NVIDIA Corp
  • FaceBook Metaverse
  • Apple
  • KBW Banking Index
  • JP Morgan
  • KRE Regional Banking ETF
  • US Bancorp
  • Truist Financial Corp
  • Value vs Growth
  • DJ Transportation Average
  • DJ Utility Index
  • XLF Financial
  • XLK Technology
  • NASDAQ Biotechnology
  • XLV Health Care
  • SOX Semiconductor
  • XLY Consumer Discretionary
  • XLP Consumer Staples
  • Eurostoxx 50
  • Xetra Dax 30
  • FTSE-100
  • EuroStock Banks
  • Deutsche Bank
  • UniCredit
  • Commerzbank
  • MSCI Emerging Market
  • MSCI China
  • China Enterprises
  • Hang Seng
  • Shanghai Composite
  • Bovespa
  • Russia RTS
  • Nifty 50
  • Tasi
  • Singapore Straits
  • Taiwan SE Weighted
  • Jakarta Composite Index
  • Kospi
  • ASX 200
  • Nikkei 225
  • CONTACT US NOW VIA EMAIL – SELECT YOUR PACKAGE

    Single Video – *$49.00 – PART I Stock Index Mid-Year Video Update 2023 (June 2023) or send us an email to services@wavetrack.com
    Triple Package offer – *$99.00 (saving 33%)! – PART I – PART II – PART III (June – August ’23)

  • Each video runs for at least 1 hour 50 minutes and it’s packed with SPECIFIC Elliott Wave price-forecasts. The Stock Index Video is already 2 hours 30 mins. long!.
  • *(additional VAT may be added depending on your country – currently US, Canada, Asia have no added VAT but most European countries do)

  • BONUS! The Stock Index Mid-Year Video Update 2023 contains 91 charts already. illustrated in the VIDEOS will be created into a .pdf document/report and sent to you so that you can always keep these to refer to!
  • PARTS II & III will be available in a few weeks’ time – we’re working on it!

    HOW CAN YOU GET THE VIDEO FORECAST?

    To receive your VIDEO UPDATE please click here to contact us.
    – Please state if you wish to purchase the SINGLE VIDEO – Stock Index Mid-Year Video Update 2023 for USD *49.00 and send us an email to services@wavetrack.com?
    – Or opt for the TRIPLE PACKAGE for USD *99.00 in total?
    – Next -depending on you preference- we will send you a credit card payment link (for this we need your name and address) or alternatively, a PayPal payment request and provide you with the video link & PDF report once payment is confirmed. Please know the reply can take up to 6 hours. But rest assured we will give our best to provide you with the information as soon as possible!

    *(additional VAT may be added depending on your country of residence. Currently, the US, Canada, Asia have no added VAT but most European countries do)

    We’re sure you’ll reap the benefits – don’t forget to contact us with any Elliott Wave questions – Peter is always keen to hear your views, queries, and comments.

    Visit us @ www.wavetrack.com

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    About WTI

    WaveTrack International is a financial price forecasting company dedicated to the Elliott Wave principle and work of the R.N. Elliott. Clients include Investment Banks, Pension Funds, Total/Absolute-Return/Hedge Funds, Sovereign Wealth Funds, Corporate and Market-Making/Trading institutions and informed individuals -- & just about anyone who is affected by directional price change.

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