STOCK INDICES Mid-Year Video Update! PART I/III
by WaveTrack International| June 28, 2024 | No Comments
Stock Indices Mid-Year Video Update 2024
Includes ECONOMIC INDICATOR & SENTIMENT STUDIES
Stock Market Crash Inevitable
Highlights 2024
Stock Indices – Main Theme
When stock indices overcame the pandemic sell-off with as sharp v-shaped recovery ending into the Nov.’21/Jan.’22 highs, it confirmed the final sequence of the secular-bull market from the financial-crisis lows had begun.
Ordinarily, we’d expect to see this 5th wave unfold into a five wave expanding-impulse pattern but so many indices ran higher into a-b-c zig zags to those Nov.’21/Jan.’22 highs. This was confirming the 5th wave advance from the March 2020 low was taking the form of a five wave diagonal-impulse instead.
Stock Indices – Change is coming!
That doesn’t sound like much of a change – but it is, it does! It’s the difference between getting caught-up in the AI frenzy or taking a dose of reality and stepping aside for more lucrative investment entry points later. The diagonal-impulse patterns unfolding in the major indices, like the S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq 100, even those in Europe like the Xetra Dax completed their 1st waves into those Nov.’21/Jan.’22 highs although 2022’s declines were certainly not deep enough to qualify the completion of 2nd wave corrections.
Far deeper corrections are necessary to ensure the boundary lines of the diagonal are correctly proportional to this wedge-shaped pattern. The 2nd waves are actually unfolding into a-b-c expanding flat patterns where 2022’s initial declines were wave a. And of course, wave b’s required attempt to new highs are exactly where prices are trading now.
Beware of the AI Frenzy!
The AI technology frenzy has helped to exaggerate the b wave advances from those 2022 lows whilst underperforming indices like the small-cap Russell 2000 and the small/mid-cap indices traded in Europe are lagging behind, unable to break above those Nov.’21/Jan.’22 highs, setting-up bearish divergences – that in itself is big warning!
Stock Indices – Elliott Wave Conclusion
But that means wave c is about to crash lower into a five wave impulse. And that translates into downside acceleration during the next 9-12 months. And proportional fib-price-ratio measurements depict declines of -40% ahead.
U.S. Stock Indices Outlook
Right now, U.S. indices are still in the midst of counter-trend 2nd wave corrective downswings that began from the Nov.’21/Jan.’22 highs. The outperforming indices, such as the S&P 500, Dow Jones (DJIA), and Nasdaq 100, are unfolding into a-b-c expanding flat patterns, with wave b currently trading to new higher-highs. However, these indices are about to roll over, creating potential risks of -40% to -50% declines in the next 9-12 month period.
On the other hand, the underperforming indices, like the small-cap Russell 2000 and Nasdaq Next-Generation 100 index, are seeing corrections unfold into zig zags or double zig zags. This sets up classic bearish divergence, signaling wave c declines ahead.
Don’t let yourself be caught off guard by these market trends. Stay informed and ahead of the game with WaveTrack’s Stock Indices video. Our expert analysis and insights will help you navigate the market with confidence and make informed trading decisions.
Subscribe today to gain access to this valuable resource and take your stock trading to the next level. Don’t miss out on this opportunity to stay ahead of the curve and maximize your trading success.
Most sincerely,
Peter Goodburn
Founder and Chief Elliott Wave Analyst
WaveTrack International
Contents Stock Indices Mid-Year Video Update 2024
Charts: 92 | Video: 2 hours 2 mins.
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