Stock Indices Video Outlook 2024 – PART I/III
by WaveTrack International| December 30, 2023 | No Comments
Stock Indices Video Outlook 2024
Recession Alert! – Heightened Risk of a Hard Landing in 2024!!
FANG+ & Mag-7 Slide Lower in 2024
Highlights 2024
TAIL RISK IN 2024!!
A yield curve inversion almost always occurs before a recession although its effects can begin up to 15 months later. The more recent inversion began in July ’22. And we’re now 17 months later. This is clearly highlighting the probability a recession is just ahead. Bank of America analysts show the S&P 500 begins a decline of up to -40% once the curve begins to steepen again.
The decline accelerates as the Federal Reserve begins to tighten credit and the market collapses following the first rate cut. It then forms a trough/low 9 months later. This synopsis tallies with our bearish Elliott Wave outlook for the S&P 500 for the coming year, 2024. We’re expecting a decline of -38% per cent. Contrastingly, Goldman Sachs forecasts a limited risk of recession with a year-end target of 4700.00+/- (-2%), Deutsche Bank a mild recession, 5100.00+/- (+8%), JP Morgan a risk of recession, 4200.00+/- (-12%) and Societe Generale a mild recession, 4750.00+/- (-1%).
However, the U.S. Banking sector is particularly vulnerable to a strong downturn should interest rates remain higher-for-longer with commercial real estate defaults likely to accelerate.
SPOTLIGHT – Technology!
This is a must have video for those who invested in the Magnificent 7 Stocks! We believe that Fang+ Technology are particularly vulnerable to Tail-Risk factor mentioned above. Moreover, there will be large counter-trend declines for Amazon Inc., Alphabet/Google, Apple Inc., Meta/Facebook, Microsoft, Netflix, Nvidia & Tesla. Get our latest video and be prepared.
New Stock Indices Video Outlook 2024 – PART I/III
The central themes we’ll be discussing in this video include Interest Rate trends and expectations, inflation and what happens should Central Banks keep interest rates higher-for-longer.
We’re examining clues in the last year’s yield curve inversion and later. Moreover, systemic financial credit risks showing-up in the U.S. and European banking sector.
We’re taking an updated look at the final stage of the inflation-pop cycle which is propelling stock indices higher from the pandemic lows. Many are unfolding into ending-type diagonal patterns but are missing the required 2nd wave downside sell-offs that only partially materialised in 2022. 2023’s rallies are unlikely to be sustained. European indices staged relative outperformance since lows in September 2022 but are also expected to generate big declines during the next year ahead of resuming higher afterwards.
MSCI China and the Emerging Market index are both looking positive. At the very least, these outperform Developed Market indices in 2024.
This STOCK INDICES Video Outlook 2024 is like nothing you’ve seen anywhere else in the world. It’s unique to WaveTrack International, how we foresee trends developing through the lens of Elliott Wave Principle (EWP) and how its forecasts correlate with Fibonacci Price Ratios, Sentiment extremes and Economic data trends.
We invite you to take this next step in our financial journey with us – video subscription details are below – just follow the links and we’ll see you soon!
Most sincerely,
Peter Goodburn
Founder and Chief Elliott Wave Analyst
WaveTrack International
Contents Stock Indices Video Outlook 2024
Charts: 97 | Video: 2 hours 29 mins.
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PARTS II & III will be available in a few weeks’ time – we’re working on it!
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Tags: 2024 Financial Outlook
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